The Angry Clam is particularly angry:
The fact is that Arnold's candidacy is moribund and, barring a dramatic turnaround, doomed to a third place or lower finish. McClintock, on the other hand, is on the rise, and the Clam will predict here and now that McClintock will overtake Arnold in the polls no later than September 15.
And then he plans to repeat the line that all Arnold supporters have been screaming, just like all the Riordan supporters did: it's time to get behind the candidate with the best shot (i.e. closest in the polls) of beating the Democrats. And once again, it won't be the liberal Republican. The Clam will also make another prediction: the same Arnold supports who've bitched and moaned about McClintock people like myself costing Arnold the election will turn around and cost Tom the election.
Liberal Republicans' motto, after all, is "If I can't have it, no one can!"
Posted by Justene Adamec at August 24, 2003 01:35 PM | TrackBackDrudge was reading the riot act re the Arnie hype on his radio show this evening.
Posted by: Right-Wing Vegetarian at August 24, 2003 11:21 PM (Permalink)Last time I checked, Riordan didn't run in the 2002 election as an independent. Riordan didn't cost Simon the election last year. SIMON cost Simon the election.
Secondly, McClintock currently trails Schwartzenegger badly in the polls, has almost no money and minimal appeal to the swing voters that will decide this election -- meaning that even if he can pass Schwartzenegger -- a HUGE if -- he is unlikely to pass Bustamante.
Third, even if Schwartzenegger falters, and McClintock emerges as the more credible nominee, why are you insisting moderate Republicans won't come aboard McClintock's campaign? I see no evidence of that, other than your visceral dislike of moderate Republicans, and you better learn to get used to them because, without us, Republicans won't win ANYWHERE in California.
Finally, I thought the purpose of commentary was to convince people of your opinion. Initially, I was leaning towards McClintock, but every time I read a comment from the Angry Clam, I tilt ever more towards Schwarzenegger.
Posted by: Sean at August 25, 2003 09:01 AM (Permalink)All right. This is silly. The number one priority is defeating Bustamante. After that, we'll have a lot more time to argue about the number of angels that can dance atop a pinhead.
I will make a deal with any taker. If you agree to vote for whatever Republican candidate is leading in the polls by, say, September 30, I will do the same.
If it's McClintock, that's great. My $100 won't go to waste. If it's Schwarzenegger, that's cool too.
Any takers? Angry Clam? Justene? Sean?
Posted by: Spooky at August 25, 2003 09:20 AM (Permalink)Actually, I'll up the ante. I'll give $100 to the candidate leading on September 30 if you agree to do the same.
Posted by: Spooky at August 25, 2003 09:22 AM (Permalink)Spooky:
Well I don't know about the $100, but I'd be willing to back either of Schwarzenegger or McClintock, depending on who has the best shot of beating Bustamante. And I agree, late September would be the best time for the trailing Republican to bow out of the race.
Slight caveat: hopefully, IF Arnold is the trailing Republican by that time (not likely, but possible) his withdrawal won't effect the support for "Question No. 1" on the recall ballot. I don't care for Bustamante one bit, but at this point ANYBODY is preferable to Davis.
Posted by: Sean at August 25, 2003 11:16 AM (Permalink)
Well, it's the old RINO v RNIO debate... Republicans In Name Only v. Republicans Not In Office...
Dan Lundgren was a super-duper a-okay jim dandy out-of-central casting conservative... and he got crushed by freaking 20 points.
If McClintock's close, I'll definately vote for him, but I'm not holding my breath. I'll take Arnold 11 falls out of 12 when the choice is Bustamante.
Posted by: Andrew at August 25, 2003 10:07 PM (Permalink)Face facts, no professional politician is going to win this election, it's Arnold all the way.
Posted by: Jim Brown at August 27, 2003 05:25 AM (Permalink)My input here would be purely hypothetical, but I've already stated on my blog the way it would be:
I would prefer to vote for McClintock, but if (a) McClintock is extremely unlikely to win anyway and (b) whatever Republican is in a position to win looks to need every vote he can get, I'd vote for that leading Republican.
But if (for example) Schwarzenegger were, like, 10 points or more ahead of anyone else, I would still vote McClintock. And spend election night hoping the polls weren't way off.
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